The Cities Where Temp Jobs Are Poised to Grow the Fastest

EMSI_temp-industry-percentchange

The job market for temp workers has been soaring for long enough that it’s easy to forget how badly it was hurting during the recession.

The temporary help services industry, long considered an early indicator of full-time hiring trends, lost almost 750,000 jobs from 2007 to 2009—more than any other industry in the United States and more than the next three worst-performing industries combined.

From that low point, though, the staffing agencies that make up temporary help services immediately started to recover. Temp employment passed its pre-recession peak in 2013 and is projected to exceed three million jobs in 2017.

The recession now looks like a mere hiccup for the temp industry. And in some of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas, the temp recovery (and subsequent explosion of jobs) has been even more remarkable than the national rebound.

From 2013 to 2018, 18 of the nation’s 50 most populous metropolitan areas are expected to exceed the national growth rate of 20% for temporary help services. Leading the charge is Raleigh, North Carolina, where temp jobs are projected to skyrocket 43% over that time.

Kansas City (33%), Indianapolis (32%), Memphis (30%), and Orlando (30%) are also projected to far eclipse national trends.

EMSI_growing-metros

MSA 2013 Temp Jobs 2018 Projected Temp Jobs Projected Change Projected % Change 2014 Total Earnings
Source: EMSI 2014.2 Class of Worker (QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees)
Raleigh, NC 12,432 17,741 5,309 43% $46,575
Kansas City, MO-KS 17,315 23,074 5,759 33% $26,465
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN 31,343 41,308 9,965 32% $27,462
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 22,052 28,619 6,567 30% $28,228
Memphis, TN-MS-AR 27,293 35,353 8,060 30% $23,101
Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, TN 23,954 31,010 7,056 29% $30,061
Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade, CA 17,432 22,532 5,100 29% $37,076
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 29,892 38,439 8,547 29% $49,863
Jacksonville, FL 12,855 16,506 3,651 28% $29,454
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 30,311 38,216 7,905 26% $22,858
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 132,404 166,878 34,474 26% $28,150
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 20,154 24,712 4,558 23% $36,617
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 24,017 29,274 5,257 22% $39,307
Columbus, OH 26,737 32,452 5,715 21% $28,611
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 36,298 44,028 7,730 21% $35,907
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN 18,686 22,626 3,940 21% $27,106
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC 22,194 26,822 4,628 21% $37,358
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 46,099 55,613 9,514 21% $39,098
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 67,791 81,683 13,892 20% $34,492
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 40,588 48,793 8,205 20% $45,923
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 83,864 100,294 16,430 20% $31,998
Cleveland-Elyria, OH 19,691 23,428 3,737 19% $28,778
St. Louis, MO-IL 18,178 21,411 3,233 18% $29,948
Austin-Round Rock, TX 14,802 17,395 2,593 18% $33,500
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 24,313 28,502 4,189 17% $36,336
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 23,463 27,386 3,923 17% $27,959
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN 21,094 24,497 3,403 16% $27,385
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 57,609 66,901 9,292 16% $46,373
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 8,892 10,271 1,379 16% $34,028
Birmingham-Hoover, AL 7,927 9,053 1,126 14% $28,456
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 45,245 51,617 6,372 14% $32,899
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 18,446 21,025 2,579 14% $54,549
Pittsburgh, PA 15,515 17,582 2,067 13% $39,393
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA 11,240 12,725 1,485 13% $29,866
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 120,438 135,594 15,156 13% $38,479
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 46,661 52,171 5,510 12% $38,034
Salt Lake City, UT 11,434 12,455 1,021 9% $29,779
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 105,639 112,736 7,097 7% $33,629
San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA 27,926 29,570 1,644 6% $57,495
Oklahoma City, OK 7,967 8,359 392 5% $34,919
San Diego-Carlsbad, CA 22,832 23,904 1,072 5% $38,837
Richmond, VA 11,929 12,429 500 4% $35,459
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX 16,747 17,255 508 3% $26,135
New Orleans-Metairie, LA 8,576 8,754 178 2% $30,686
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 12,607 12,848 241 2% $25,812
Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, NY 6,009 6,119 110 2% $32,824
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 28,432 28,494 62 0% $52,413
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 33,872 33,895 23 0% $33,871
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 12,895 12,609 -286 -2% $34,786
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 19,413 14,395 -5,018 -26% $36,977

While temp employment is accelerating in nearly every large metro, the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro is a clear exception. It’s projected to see a 26% drop in temporary help services—a loss of more than 5,000 jobs—from 2013 to 2018. This after temp jobs declined 48% in Tampa-St. Pete from 2007 to 2013. If the projection holds—and it’s only a projection*—the Tampa-St. Pete metro will have gone from more than 37,000 temp jobs in 2007 to less than 15,000 in 2018, a dramatic 60% reduction.

The only other metro expected to see a drop in temp workers is Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News (-2%).

*EMSI projections are basically past trends extrapolated into the future, which are also informed by official federal and state projections (which in turn are informed by both statistical models and expert opinion). EMSI projections are not “forecasts” or “predictions.” Also, because the BLS publishes employment projections biennially and states projections are on varying schedules, projections may not reflect trends seen in the most recent years of data.

Fast-Growing Occupations Inside Temp Sector for Top Metros

For the 10 metros poised to grow the quickest through 2018, we explored our data with CareerBuilder to identify the fastest-growing occupations inside the temp sector. These numbers come from Analyst, EMSI’s labor market research tool, and specifically our regional staffing pattern data—the percentage of jobs in a given industry in specific occupations.

Note: These are occupations that have at least 100 jobs in the temp industry and pay $15 or more in median hourly earnings in the selected metro. Wages cover anyone working in the occupation, not just temporary employees.

1. Raleigh (43% projected growth, 2013-2018)

  • Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses (116 jobs in 2013, 50% growth, $21.57 per hour)
  • Packaging and filling machine operators and tenders (208 jobs, 46% growth, $15.60)
  • Maintenance and repair workers (123 jobs, 45% growth, $17.87)

2. Kansas City (33%)

  • Sales representatives, services, all other (117 jobs in 2013, 36% growth, $26.25 per hour)
  • Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses (187 jobs, 36% growth, $19.51)
  • Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks (159 jobs, 35% growth, $17.38)

3. Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson (32%)

  • Construction laborers (522 jobs in 2013, 39% growth, $16.52 per hour)
  • Computer systems analysts (118 jobs, 37% growth, $35.84)
  • Computer user support specialists (141 jobs, 37% growth, $20.71)

4 (tie). Memphis (30%)

  • Sales representatives, services, all other (129 jobs in 2013, 40% growth, $22.35 per hour)
  • Computer user support specialists (102 jobs, 39%, $22.53)
  • Registered nurses (334 jobs, 38%, $28.76)

4 (tie). Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford (30%)

  • Machinists (115 jobs in 2013, 37% growth, $21.80 per hour)
  • General and operations managers (159 jobs, 35% growth, $44.70)
  • Computer systems analysts (102 jobs, 33% growth, $40.91)

6 (tie). Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue (29%)

  • Machinists (129 jobs in 2013, 42% growth, $24.42 per hour)
  • Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses (239 jobs, 39% growth, $24.07)
  • Construction laborers (538 jobs, 36% growth, $18.94)

6 (tie). Sacramento—Roseville—Arden-Arcade (29%)

  • Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses (158 jobs in 2013, 37% growth, $26.27 per hour)
  • Secretaries and administrative assistants (313 jobs, 35% growth, $17.42)
  • Maintenance and repair workers (129 jobs, 35% growth, $18.68)

6 (tie). Nashville-Davidson—Murfreesboro—Franklin (29%)

  • Registered nurses (219 jobs in 2013, 45% growth, $28.48 per hour)
  • Computer user support specialists (106 jobs, 36% growth, $20.62)
  • Machinists (120 jobs, 36 %, $19.72)

9. Jacksonville (28%)

  • Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses (102 jobs in 2013, 34% growth, $20.55 per hour)
  • Registered nurses (187 jobs, 32 % growth, $29.48)
  • Maintenance and repair workers (105 jobs, 31% growth, $16.42)

10. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario (26%)

  • Machinists (172 jobs in 2013, 33% growth, $19.02 per hour)
  • Construction laborers (585 jobs in 2013, 31% growth, $17.86)
  • Secretaries and administrative assistants (570 jobs, 31% growth, $16.67)
Takeaways

EMSI has written about the large presence of temp workers in manufacturing. Just over 50% of all manufacturing jobs are in production occupations such as machinists—which happens to be the top occupation in our list for Orlando, Seattle, and Riverside.

The health care and tech sectors are two other hotspot for solid-paying temp jobs. Registered nurses and licensed practical nurses (LPNs) are among the fastest-growing occupations inside the temp sector in many of the top metros. Nationally, health care practitioners account for 5% of all temp jobs.

As for the tech industry, notice the computer occupations scattered among the top three in these metros. This is especially the case in Indianapolis, where computer systems analysts and computer user support specialists are projected to grow rapidly in the temp realm.

For more on EMSI’s employment data—available at the county, MSA, and ZIP code level—or to see data for your region, email Josh Wright. Follow EMSI on Twitter (@DesktopEcon) or check us out on LinkedIn and Facebook.

2 Responses to “The Cities Where Temp Jobs Are Poised to Grow the Fastest”

  1. Gary Foster, C.P.M.

    I’m interested if any work was done to project demand/supply balance in these communities and the impact on wage rates required to recruite and fill positions as this growth takes hold.

    • Joshua Wright

      Gary — thanks for the comment. We did not look at supply/demand gaps or wage analysis, but it’s an interesting thought. There might be some limitations to the data because we’re looking at temp jobs specifically.